Independiente del Vallevs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/18/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40