GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/18/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boca JuniorsWWLWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleBoca Juniors
0.0Attack44.4
83.3Defence77.8
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power64.7
0.90xG1.07
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