GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/19/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Barcelona SC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Barcelona SCWLLLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente del ValleBarcelona SC
81.3Attack33.3
68.0Defence73.3
85.3Form48.0
78.3Power53.6
1.39xG0.54
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