GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aucas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AucasLDDLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Independiente del ValleAucas
81.3Attack40.3
68.0Defence65.3
85.3Form56.9
78.3Power56.0
1.79xG0.66
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