Independiente del Vallevs
Aucas
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aucas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente del Valle
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80