Independiente del VallevsAtletico-MG

Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.