GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente De Chivilcoy are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tucuman Central are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and independiente De Chivilcoy hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring a draw with 25.2% confidence, a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

25.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente De ChivilcoyDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Tucuman CentralDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente De ChivilcoyTucuman Central
28.1Attack27.8
59.6Defence55.6
35.1Form33.3
43.0Power40.9
0.81xG0.62
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