Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal A
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Independiente De Chivilcoy

Independiente De Chivilcoy

Home
D
11
Full time
Sportivo Las Parejas

Sportivo Las Parejas

Away
D
Raul Orlando Lungarzo
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Sportivo Las Parejas(44%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Independiente De Chivilcoy
28%
Draw
28%
Sportivo Las Parejas
44%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Independiente De Chivilcoy
34
Sportivo Las Parejas
9
Defence
Independiente De Chivilcoy
66
Sportivo Las Parejas
91
Momentum
Independiente De Chivilcoy
33
Sportivo Las Parejas
33
Danger (xG)
Independiente De Chivilcoy
0.90
Sportivo Las Parejas
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Independiente De Chivilcoy)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Sportivo Las Parejas)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Independiente De Chivilcoy)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sportivo Las Parejas)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy
D
Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas
D

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Independiente De Chivilcoy28%
Draw28%
Sportivo Las Parejas44%

Sportivo Las Parejas leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Independiente De Chivilcoy head into this in Torneo Federal A fixture at Raul Orlando Lungarzo in mixed form (D), while Sportivo Las Parejas arrive in mixed form (D). Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Sportivo Las Parejas over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Independiente De Chivilcoy (66/100) and Sportivo Las Parejas (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Independiente De Chivilcoy have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Sportivo Las Parejas have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Independiente De Chivilcoy and Sportivo Las Parejas in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Sportivo Las Parejas to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Independiente De Chivilcoy 2793%, Draw 2786%, Sportivo Las Parejas 4422%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Independiente De Chivilcoy

Independiente De Chivilcoy

D
@ Sportivo Belgrano
5 Jul 2026
11
Sportivo Las Parejas

Sportivo Las Parejas

D
@ Douglas Haig
5 Jul 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

GoalVio's model predicts Sportivo Las Parejas to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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