GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/2/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente De Chivilcoy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente De ChivilcoyLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo BelgranoDLDDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
28.3Attack34.9
58.3Defence81.0
33.3Form50.8
42.1Power56.8
0.40xG0.84
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