GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente De Chivilcoy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente De Chivilcoy are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente De Chivilcoy hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 36.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while Independiente De Chivilcoy holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente De Chivilcoy

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

23.7%

Independiente De Chivilcoy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente De ChivilcoyDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente De ChivilcoySarmiento Resistencia
28.1Attack24.1
59.6Defence48.1
35.1Form27.8
43.0Power36.2
0.96xG0.53
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