Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente De Chivilcoy are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gimnasia Concepción are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Concepción hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
32.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00