GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente De Chivilcoy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Chivilcoy hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

35.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente De ChivilcoyLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia ChivilcoyDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente De ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy
28.3Attack28.3
58.3Defence78.3
33.3Form46.7
42.1Power52.6
0.40xG0.67
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