Independiente De Chivilcoyvs
El Linqueño
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independiente De Chivilcoy 0-0 El Linqueño, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente De Chivilcoy 1-0 El Linqueño
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.9% | 37.2% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.1% | 36.9% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.0% | 25.9% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Projected Score
Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 El Linqueño
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40