Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente De Chivilcoy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores de Belgrano VR are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Belgrano VR hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40