Independente SPvsSao Carlos

Independente SP are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sao Carlos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.