Independente SPvs
Santacruzense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 6/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Independente SP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Santacruzense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
74.0%
Model confidence
13.3%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80