GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independente SP · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Independente SP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mogi Mirim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independente SP

Probability

79.2%

Model confidence

13.2%

Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independente SPWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mogi MirimWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independente SPMogi Mirim
88.2Attack50.0
78.4Defence50.0
76.5Form40.0
74.1Power46.0
2.77xG0.67
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