Independente SPvs
Matonense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 4/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Independente SP are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Matonense have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
12.4%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00