Independente SPvs
Grêmio Catanduvense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 6/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Independente SP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Grêmio Catanduvense are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 7.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 70.7-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 3.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 95.0% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
95.0%
Model confidence
95.0%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 1 · GA 36 · avg 0.20/7.20