GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independente SP are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Flamengo SP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independente SP

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

18.1%

Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independente SPLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Flamengo SPWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independente SPFlamengo SP
88.2Attack41.7
78.4Defence81.3
76.5Form75.0
74.1Power69.0
1.36xG0.60
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