Independente SPvs
Flamengo SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independente SP are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Flamengo SP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
18.1%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40