Independente SPvs
America SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independente SP 1-0 America SP, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independente SP 4-1 America SP
Original prediction
Independente SP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Projected Score
Independente SP 1–0 America SP
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Independente SPLWLWW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
America SPWWDWD
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independente SPAmerica SP
88.2Attack51.0
78.4Defence80.4
76.5Form66.7
74.1Power66.9
1.38xG0.72