Independ. Rivadaviavs
Tigre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/17/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independ. Rivadavia 0-0 Tigre, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independ. Rivadavia 2-2 Tigre
Original prediction
Independ. Rivadavia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.5% | 47.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.6% | 28.5% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.9% | 24.2% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Independ. Rivadavia 0–0 Tigre
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Independ. Rivadavia
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00