GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/4/2026, 12:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independ. Rivadavia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sarmiento Junin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independ. Rivadavia holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independ. Rivadavia

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independ. RivadaviaWWWWD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento JuninWLDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Independ. RivadaviaSarmiento Junin
55.6Attack35.0
66.7Defence53.3
65.1Form41.7
64.2Power45.9
1.77xG0.61
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