Independ. Rivadaviavs
Racing Club
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/31/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 Racing Club, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 Racing Club
Original prediction
Independ. Rivadavia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 42.2% | 50.5% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 31.2% | 28.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 26.6% | 20.5% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Projected Score
Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Racing Club
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Independ. Rivadavia
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40