Independ. Rivadaviavs
Fluminense
SCHEDULEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 8/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independ. Rivadavia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fluminense are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Independ. Rivadavia holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independ. Rivadavia
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
12.7%
Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00