Independ. Rivadaviavs
Aldosivi
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/12/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 Aldosivi, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independ. Rivadavia 4-3 Aldosivi
Original prediction
Independ. Rivadavia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 64.5% | 51.8% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 23.1% | 27.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 7.54 | 12.4% | 20.8% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Projected Score
Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Aldosivi
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Independ. Rivadavia
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60