GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 2/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ind. Yumbo are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.0% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

22.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ind. YumboLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Real CartagenaWWDLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ind. YumboReal Cartagena
33.3Attack51.3
72.2Defence62.8
48.1Form56.4
53.0Power57.8
0.78xG0.79
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