GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 10/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ind. Yumbo · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Ind. Yumbo 0-0 Popayan, with an exact score probability of 23%.

Prediction record

Final result

Ind. Yumbo 3-0 Popayan

Original prediction

Ind. Yumbo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8848.5%47.4%-1.1 pts
Draw3.2528.1%31.0%2.9 pts
Away3.8923.5%21.6%-1.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.1 pts

Projected Score

Ind. Yumbo 0–0 Popayan

Exact score probability: 23%

Predicted outcome

Ind. Yumbo

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Ind. Yumbo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ind. YumboDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PopayanLLDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ind. YumboPopayan
35.7Attack39.3
73.8Defence59.5
52.4Form36.9
55.9Power46.8
0.96xG0.55
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