Incheon Unitedvs
Pohang Steelers
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/9/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Incheon United 0-0 Pohang Steelers, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Incheon United 3-0 Pohang Steelers
Original prediction
Incheon United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 41.0% | 41.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 30.4% | 31.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.6% | 26.9% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Incheon United 0–0 Pohang Steelers
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Incheon United
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60