Incheon Unitedvs
Jeju United FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Incheon United 0-0 Jeju United FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Incheon United 3-1 Jeju United FC
Original prediction
Incheon United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.3% | 37.8% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.4% | 31.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 29.2% | 30.9% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Projected Score
Incheon United 0–0 Jeju United FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Incheon United
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40