GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 8/22/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Incheon United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Incheon United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hai Phong are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (67.8 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Incheon United

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Incheon UnitedDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hai PhongWLLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Incheon UnitedHai Phong
81.0Attack83.3
52.4Defence33.3
71.4Form50.0
67.8Power54.2
2.59xG1.45
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