Incheon Unitedvs
Gwangju FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 5/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Incheon United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Gwangju FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the K League 1, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Incheon United
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00