GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 5/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Incheon United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Gwangju FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the K League 1, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Incheon United

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

73.6%

Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Incheon UnitedLWDLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Gwangju FCLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Incheon UnitedGwangju FC
44.4Attack16.7
61.9Defence28.8
46.0Form16.7
52.2Power24.3
2.20xG0.48
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