GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Incheon United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the K League 1, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Incheon United

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Incheon UnitedWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDDDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 0/5
Incheon UnitedGimcheon Sangmu FC
44.4Attack33.3
61.9Defence57.6
46.0Form36.4
52.2Power44.9
1.24xG0.68
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