Incheon Unitedvs
Daejeon Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Incheon United 1-1 Daejeon Citizen
Original prediction
Daejeon Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 33.2% | 36.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.8% | 27.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 38.0% | 36.4% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Citizen
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40