K League 1K League 1
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:03
Incheon United

Incheon United

Home
LL
11
Full time
Bucheon FC 1995

Bucheon FC 1995

Away
D
Sungui Arena Park
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Incheon United(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Incheon United
43%
Draw
27%
Bucheon FC 1995
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Incheon United
9
Bucheon FC 1995
34
Defence
Incheon United
66
Bucheon FC 1995
66
Momentum
Incheon United
0
Bucheon FC 1995
33
Danger (xG)
Incheon United
0.00
Bucheon FC 1995
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Incheon United)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Bucheon FC 1995)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Incheon United)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bucheon FC 1995)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Incheon UnitedIncheon United
LLWL
Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995
DWD

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Incheon United43%
Draw27%
Bucheon FC 199530%

Incheon United leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Incheon United head into this in K League 1 fixture at Sungui Arena Park in mixed form (LL), while Bucheon FC 1995 arrive in mixed form (D). Incheon United have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Bucheon FC 1995 over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Incheon United (66/100) and Bucheon FC 1995 (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Incheon United have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Bucheon FC 1995 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Incheon United and Bucheon FC 1995 in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Incheon United to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Incheon United 4256%, Draw 2712%, Bucheon FC 1995 3032%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Incheon United

Incheon United

L
vs FC Anyang
12 Jul 2026
01
L
@ FC Seoul
5 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Gwangju FC
16 May 2026
40
L
vs Pohang Steelers
12 May 2026
01
Bucheon FC 1995

Bucheon FC 1995

D
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
11 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Pohang Steelers
17 May 2026
20
D
vs Jeonbuk Motors
13 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995?

GoalVio's model predicts Incheon United to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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