Inca Arubavs
Inter
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inca Aruba 0-1 Inter, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inca Aruba 0-2 Inter
Original prediction
Inter
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.80 | 15.6% | 17.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.1% | 25.2% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 61.3% | 56.9% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Inca Aruba 0–1 Inter
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inca ArubaLLDWD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
InterLDDLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Inca ArubaInter
27.1Attack45.8
39.6Defence66.7
33.3Form47.9
36.8Power54.3
0.55xG1.59