Primera DivisionPrimera Division
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Inca Aruba

Inca Aruba

Home
13
Full time
Alianza

Alianza

Away
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Inca Aruba(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Inca Aruba
41%
Draw
25%
Alianza
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Inca Aruba41%
Draw25%
Alianza35%

Inca Aruba leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Inca Aruba head into this in Primera Division fixture in unknown form, while Alianza arrive in unknown form.

Inca Aruba have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Alianza have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Inca Aruba and Alianza in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Inca Aruba to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Inca Aruba 4071%, Draw 2479%, Alianza 3450%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Inca Aruba vs Alianza?

GoalVio's model predicts Inca Aruba to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Inca Aruba vs Alianza?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Inca Aruba vs Alianza?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Inca Aruba vs Alianza?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more