Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd
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Zemun
AwayThe model projects 1.84 xG for IMT Novi Beograd and 0.81 xG for Zemun. Zemun's projected xG of 0.81 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.65 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesIMT Novi BeogradProbability breakdown
IMT Novi Beograd leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
IMT Novi Beograd Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1
IMT Novi Beograd host Zemun in Super Liga. IMT Novi Beograd have recorded LWLLWW in recent matches while Zemun arrive with a run of DDLWDL. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
IMT Novi Beograd are generating a commanding xG advantage — 1.84 projected against 0.81 for Zemun. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.03 is the clearest signal in the model that IMT Novi Beograd are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. IMT Novi Beograd are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.
Risk factors
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Recent form
IMT Novi Beograd
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun?
GoalVio's model predicts IMT Novi Beograd to win with 40% confidence.
What is the predicted score for IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.