IMT Novi Beogradvs
Radnik Surdulica
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IMT Novi Beograd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 Radnik Surdulica, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 Radnik Surdulica
Original prediction
IMT Novi Beograd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.5% | 53.7% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 26.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.7% | 19.4% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
IMT Novi Beograd 1–0 Radnik Surdulica
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
IMT Novi Beograd
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
IMT Novi Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20