IMT Novi Beogradvs
Mladost Lucani
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IMT Novi Beograd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IMT Novi Beograd 2-0 Mladost Lucani
Original prediction
IMT Novi Beograd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.0% | 51.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 26.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.6% | 22.2% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
IMT Novi Beograd
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
IMT Novi Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60