IMT Novi Beogradvs
Železničar Pančevo
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 Železničar Pančevo, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 Železničar Pančevo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.3% | 34.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.4% | 31.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.3% | 33.7% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
IMT Novi Beograd 0–0 Železničar Pančevo
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60