Imperiavs
Celle Varazze
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone A · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Imperia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Imperia 2-0 Celle Varazze
Original prediction
Imperia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.1% | 41.2% | -20.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.7% | 27.2% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 5.84 | 15.2% | 31.6% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Imperia
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Imperia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80