Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Biellese · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Imperia 2-1 Biellese
Original prediction
Biellese
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.1% | 33.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.9% | 29.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.1% | 37.0% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Biellese
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Biellese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ImperiaLLDDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BielleseWLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67
BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
ImperiaBiellese
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power50.0
1.28xG1.40