GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Imperatriz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Águia de Marabá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

14.7%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ImperatrizLWLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Águia de MarabáLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ImperatrizÁguia de Marabá
40.5Attack59.5
64.3Defence59.5
42.9Form57.1
49.2Power58.9
1.02xG1.20
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