Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Imisli FK 0-1 Turan, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Imisli FK 1-0 Turan
Original prediction
Turan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.33 | 17.0% | 20.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.4% | 27.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.6% | 51.6% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Projected Score
Imisli FK 0–1 Turan
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Turan
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Turan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Imisli FKLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TuranWLWDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Imisli FKTuran
28.6Attack33.3
38.1Defence77.8
19.0Form61.1
32.1Power60.7
0.67xG1.32