Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Imigresen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Imigresen 2-0 Kedah
Original prediction
Imigresen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.0% | 46.5% | -22.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.01 | 17.8% | 25.3% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 6.78 | 13.2% | 28.2% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Imigresen
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Imigresen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ImigresenDDLLD
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KedahDLDLL
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ImigresenKedah
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.55xG1.32