Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Imbabura · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Imbabura are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manta FC are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Imbabura hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while Imbabura holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Imbabura
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Imbabura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.67/0.33