Şimalvs
Xankəndi FK
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 10/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xankəndi FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Şimal 1-1 Xankəndi FK
Original prediction
Xankəndi FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.0% | 35.3% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 27.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.1% | 37.4% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Xankəndi FK
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Xankəndi FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67