Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cəbrayıl · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Şimal 0-0 Cəbrayıl, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Şimal 1-2 Cəbrayıl
Original prediction
Cəbrayıl
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 28.8% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.6% | 28.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.7% | 43.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Projected Score
Şimal 0–0 Cəbrayıl
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Cəbrayıl
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Cəbrayıl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŞimalWWLDD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CəbrayılLLLLW
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ŞimalCəbrayıl
29.8Attack28.2
26.2Defence56.4
27.4Form30.8
31.1Power40.3
0.82xG1.16