Imabarivs
Shonan Bellmare
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shonan Bellmare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Imabari 0-1 Shonan Bellmare, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Imabari 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Original prediction
Shonan Bellmare
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.2% | 27.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.0% | 29.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.8% | 42.8% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Projected Score
Imabari 0–1 Shonan Bellmare
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Shonan Bellmare
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Shonan Bellmare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80