Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ilves W 0-4 HPS W
Original prediction
HPS W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
HPS W
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ilves WDWLLL
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HPS WWWDWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ilves WHPS W
59.1Attack51.5
31.8Defence62.1
39.4Form62.1
44.5Power60.3
1.41xG2.08