Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ilves are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while TPS are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 30.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
68.8%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50